Posts Tagged 'Inspire magazine'

Empirical Assessment of Al Qaeda, Isis, and Taliban Propaganda

I’ve just been working on assessing the potential impact of the three major magazines: Inspire (AQAP), Azan (Taliban), and Dabiq (ISIS), competing for the market in lone wolf jihadists in the West.

I compare these magazines using models for the intensity of informative, imaginative, deceptive, jihadist, and gamification language, and build an empirical model for propaganda which combines these into a single scale.

Unsurprisingly, Dabiq ranks highest in propaganda intensity.

The details can be found in the full draft paper, posted to SSRN:

Skillicorn, David, Empirical Assessment of Al Qaeda, Isis, and Taliban Propaganda (January 7, 2015). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2546478.

Inspire and Azan paper is out

The paper Edna Reid and I wrote about the language patterns in Inspire and Azan magazines has now appeared (at least online) in Springer’s Security Informatics journal. Here’s the citation:

“Language Use in the Jihadist Magazines Inspire and Azan”
David B Skillicorn and Edna F Reid
Springer Security Informatics.2014, 3:9
Security Informatics

The paper examines the intensity of various kinds of language in these jihadist magazines. The main conclusions are:

  • These magazines use language as academic models of propaganda would predict, something that has not been empirically verified at this scale AFAIK.
  • The intellectual level of these magazines is comparable to other mass market magazines — they aren’t particularly simplistic, and they assume a reasonably well-educated readership.
  • The change in editorship/authorship after the deaths of Al-Awlaki and Samir Khan are clearly visible in Inspire. The new authors have changed for each issue, but there is an overarching similarity. Azan has articles claiming many different authors, but the writing style is similar across all articles and issues; so it’s either written by a single person or by a tightly knit group.
  • Jihadist language intensity has been steadily increasing over the past few issues of Inspire, after being much more stable during the Al-Awlaki years (this is worrying).
  • Inspire is experimenting with using gamification strategies to increase motivation for lone-wolf attacks and/or to decrease the reality of causing deaths and casualties. It’s hard to judge whether this is being done deliberately, or by osmosis — the levels of gamification language waver from issue to issue.

ISIS is putting out its own magazine. Its name, “Islamic State News”, and the fact that it is entirely pictorial (comic or graphic novel depending on your point of view) says something about their view of the target audience.

Inspire Magazine Issue 10

The tenth issue of this al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula magazine is out. Continuing the textual analysis I’ve done on the earlier issues, I can conclude two things:

  1. Issue 10 wasn’t written by whoever wrote Issue 9 (nor by those who wrote the previous issues since they’re dead). In almost every respect the language resembles that of earlier issues, and is bland with respect to almost every word category. Except …
  2. The intensity of Jihadist language, which has been steadily increasing over the series, decreases sharply in Issue 10. Whoever the new editors/authors are, their hearts are not in it as much as the previous ones.