Compelling evidence on Benghazi timeline

Kathleen Carley presented work on the social media data flow before, during, and after the Benghazi embassy attack in September 2012. She happened to be teaching a course on analysis of social media (tweets and mainstream media) over the early part of September and was able to quickly repurpose it.

Her results show that, in Libya, there was no social media discussion of the embassy attacks until several hours after they happened. Discussion of the infamous movie also only begins well after the attacks and then only as a result of speculation about whether it played any role.

In contrast, Egyptian social media feeds were abuzz with demonstration rhetoric well before the activity in Cairo.

This seems to provide a compelling argument against any “spontaneous demonstration” scenario to explain what happened in Benghazi (if anyone still thinks that). It’s also a nice demonstration of the coming of age of real-time social media analysis, although it also shows that getting real-time analysis requires having a team in place before hand.

The reference is: Near Real Time Assessment of Social Media Using Geo-Temporal Network Analytics, Kathleen M. Carley,  Juergen Pfeffera, Huan Liu, Fred Morstatter, Rebecca Goolsby, Proceedings of Advances in Social Network Analysis and Modelling (ASONAM) 2013, ACM & IEEE, 517-524.

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